Browsing Tag

unemployment

March US NFP Expected to Fall, but Enough for the Fed to Change Its Mind?

Daniel John Grady Apr 3, 2025 44 0

The consensus among analysts and economists is that a slower US economy in March will be reflected in a drop in job creation numbers. With the Fed's second mandate to maintain full employment, a deteriorating labor market might suggest that…
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Fundamental Analysis

German December Inflation and Unemployment: Good News for the ECB Expected

Daniel John Grady Jan 2, 2023 223 0

Through at least the early part of this year, the ECB is expected to go against the trend of most other major central banks. The BOE and Fed are expected to continue to slow the pace of rate hikes as inflation comes down, the economy comes…
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Fundamental Analysis

Australia Unemployment, and First Central Bank to Blink

Daniel John Grady Sep 14, 2022 1,413 0

Jobs figures are back in focus in Australia following some interesting comments from RBA Governor Lowe a few days back. Of course the RBA doesn't care about the employment situation directly. But the theory is that jobs support consumer…
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Fundamental Analysis

By How Much Will The Fed Hike Tomorrow?

Daniel John Grady Jul 26, 2022 650 0

Since the last Fed meeting, there have been some pretty wide variations on expectations. Initially, it was thought that the Fed's latest 75bps hike was a one-off. Then inflation data came out, and that changed the calculus, with a bunch of…
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Fundamental Analysis

Canadian Employment, and the End of CAD Strength?

Daniel John Grady Apr 7, 2022 797 0

Yesterday, WTI Crude closed below $100/bbl for the third time since the start of the Russia-Ukraine war. Unsurprisingly, the USDCAD has been rising over the last couple of days as crude represents the largest export from Canada. But now…
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Fundamental Analysis

Upcoming UK Unemployment & Inflation Data

Daniel John Grady Mar 22, 2021 631 0

Tomorrow and Wednesday we have a couple of the most important data releases for the pound this month. The general trend for the currency right now is pretty much down to expectations around the covid recovery. BOE officials have stressed…
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Fundamental Analysis

Weekly Fundamental Bulletin: Fed & BoE Meetings

Orbex Sep 14, 2020 513 0

Last Week’s Highlights Eurozone Economy Contracts Less than Forecast in Q2 The revised Q2 GDP data from the eurozone had some good news. Economic activity fell at a slower pace than initially reported. The Eurozone's GDP fell at a pace…
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Fundamental Analysis

Preparing for UK Feb Employment Data

Daniel John Grady Apr 20, 2020 324 0

There are a lot of expectations about employment figures out of the UK. But, unfortunately, an official measure of the coronavirus' impact on the jobs market in the UK is going to have to wait a bit. The reason being is because tomorrow we…
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Fundamental Analysis

How Much Did China’s GDP Grow in Q3?

Daniel John Grady Oct 17, 2019 372 0

Early Friday we have an avalanche of data from China, all of which is potentially market-moving. Some of it can have far-reaching effects for markets all over the world. Even though it's coming out in the relatively quieter Asian session,…
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Fundamental Analysis

NFP Expected to Rise at a Slower Pace in July

Orbex Aug 2, 2019 658 0

The much-awaited monthly payrolls data will be coming out today. Forecasts point to payrolls rising at a slower pace this month. Economists polled expect that nonfarm payrolls will rise 160k in July. This marks a slower pace of increase…
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