The recent strength in the Swiss franc has extended to the point of gaining versus all major currencies, including the US dollar over the past 2 weeks. Not coincidentally, the start of this period coincided with the breakout in the drama revolving Italian politics. But there are other factors enforcing franc strength. Will the currency require c...

2018-05-23 Ashraf Laidi Read more
Aussie Unemployment Rate Edges Higher

The Aussie unemployment rate edges higher as it's seen rising to a nine month high in April at 5.6% from data provided by the Australian bureau of statistics last week. The number of people employed beat expectations and grew on an increase in full-time jobs. Overall, 22,600 net jobs were added during the month of April which beat forecasts o...

2018-05-23 John Benjamin Read more
German economy loses momentum in Q1 2018

The German economy loses momentum in Q1 2018, rising at a slower pace than initially forecast in the first three months of the year. Data from federal statistics agency, Destatis showed that the Eurozone's largest economy grew at a pace of just 0.3% on a seasonally adjusted basis during the three months ending March 2017. The pace of growth w...

2018-05-22 John Benjamin Read more
Mester aims to maintain Fed's course

The President of The Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank, (known to be a hawk in the FOMC) Loretta Mester aims to maintain Fed's course, stating that the central bank must continue its gradual approach to raising interest rates as the inflation rate still did not reach the central bank's 2% inflation target rate. She spoke on Monday in Paris, amid a ...

2018-05-21 John Benjamin Read more
JPY Positioning Turns Net Long Again

EURUSD Non-Commercials reduced their net long positions in the Euro last week, selling 5k contracts to take the total position to 115k contracts. EUR upside has now been net sold for each week over the last month as the market reacts to a downturn in eurozone economic data and a more cautious tone by the ECB subsequently. Speaking at the ba...

2018-05-21 James Harte Read more
Fed minutes and UK data

The economic calendar for the week ahead is broadly limited to some key themes of Fed minutes and UK data. The FOMC meeting minutes will be coming out on Wednesday which is likely to remain in the spotlight. On the economic front, the UK will see a busy week. Data this week includes the inflation, retail sales and GDP numbers coming up. The d...

2018-05-21 John Benjamin Read more
April Canada Unemployment Rate Remains Steady

As the April Canada unemployment rate remains steady, the Canadian economy was seen losing jobs in the month of April, with declines seen by a drop in the part-time workers. The weaker than expected data raised expectations that the Bank of Canada will be holding interest rates unchanged at its meeting this month. Data from Statistics Canada ...

2018-05-18 John Benjamin Read more
JPY Crashes As Q1 GDP Underwhelms

Weakness in Q1 As we have seen across many developed economies this year, Q1 growth in Japan was disappointing, printing -0.6% year over year and -0.2% quarter on quarter. Marking a contraction for the first time on over two years, and ending the longest run of Japanese GDP growth in 28 years, this is clearly a major blow to the BOJ who have be...

2018-05-17 James Harte Read more

Despite all the attention commanded by the US dollar, its Canadian counterpart remains the strongest performing currency since the start of the month and the beginning of the quarter. Negotiations to save the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) have reached an impasse with no meetings scheduled among the top leaders ahead of month-end. Y...

2018-05-17 Ashraf Laidi Read more
FOMC speeches confirm Fed’s view

The Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, speaking at a conference sponsored by the International Monetary Fund and the Swiss National Bank in Zurich said that the financial markets have received the information the central bank is on track for gradual interest rate hikes. He said that the markets should not be surprise as the central ...

2018-05-17 John Benjamin Read more