Fundamental Analysis

Crude prices have been moving higher this week after snapping an initial move lower, following an unexpectedly hawkish tone from the Fed. Even though the initial move in WTI was easily attributable to the strengthening of the dollar;…

Yesterday, WTI Crude prices hit a new post-pandemic high (though retraced a bit later in the session). The focus is now on the inventory data coming out tomorrow to see if there is likely to be another push higher. Alternatively, we…

The AUDUSD pair has ended up pretty much where it was after the last meeting of the RBA. But a lot has happened in the meantime. The pair shot higher at the start of the month after reports that China was fed up with the constant rise in…

One of the largest hurdles coming up to finally achieving herd immunity and putting the covid crisis finally behind us is vaccine hesitancy. Confidence in the vaccines took a heavy blow a couple of months ago with mass media reports of a…

On Monday, Deutsche Bank published a comprehensive study surveying answers from over 600 economists and analysts. The survey asked what to expect in the markets for the rest of the year. Of course, the section traders were really…

Like all geopolitical incidents, even mentioning the facts of the case is likely to incite controversy. But geopolitical incidents have a strong potential to snowball and affect the markets. Or, if they don't snowball, the concern for…

Tomorrow could provide some extra volatility in oil, and might even reverse the recent trend, depending on what happens. Early in the US session, we have the start of another round of negotiations around Iran's potential return to a…

Tomorrow we get the final report on Germany's GDP numbers. Expectations are for these numbers to confirm the preliminary numbers showing that Germany's GDP contracted in the first quarter by 1.7%. This is in comparison to a growth of…

Extraordinary circumstances require extraordinary measures, so the usual projections for what the Fed will do might not hold up. The post-covid situation isn't like other post-recession scenarios. Therefore, many models that analysts use…