Fundamental Analysis

Geopolitics and oil markets are treading what is by now becoming a familiar pattern. Over the weekend, US President Donald Trump announced that he'd suspended planned airstrikes against Iran and negotiations had restarted. Iran claimed…
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Two major sets of data that could impact forex markets this week are US and Chinese trade data. Currency flows tied to trade have a direct impact on currency pairs, and given that these are the two largest economies in the world, they will…
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Friday was a momentous day for forex in general, but particularly for the USDJPY. After the pair dropped over 500 pips in a matter of hours, the Japanese and US officials confirmed they had intervened in the exchange rate. There are several…
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Monday starts off with one of the major data dumps for next week, with the release of the private measure of China's PMI and US ISM PMI, both for the manufacturing sector. This is crucial data under the circumstances. Markets are looking…
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Markets started the week on a positive note as both the US and Iran paused mutual strikes and there was hope of restarted negotiations. Just days later, that seems to be a distant memory as crude prices are rocketing higher amid US air…
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Cable has been trending lower over the last month as investors evaluate the differing rate outlook for the Fed and the BOE. With the Fed widely expected to hike amid a solid economic profile, the BOE's potential rate is not as supportive of…
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The general expectations among economists and the market are that the Fed will keep rates unchanged at the end of its two-day meeting on Wednesday. However, there is a lot of uncertainty, particularly around the outlook, which could mean…
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This week is packed with economic data that could move markets, with EUR/USD among the most exposed currency pairs. Several US events are likely to influence the dollar early in the week, while major Eurozone releases later could shift the…
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Two counterintutive things happened this week that could be spelling out increased volatility across currency pairs next week. US yields rose to multi-month highs, but gold prices also rose. This breaks the usual pattern and raises the…
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Several major economies report flash PMI figures on Friday, but the focus is likely to be on Europe, with the pound and Euro potentially moving substantially in response. Overall, global PMIs are crucial for the market because they are…
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