recession

Yesterday, OPEC and the IEA provided their monthly reports on the oil industry. What got quite a bit of headlines was OPEC's forecast that crude demand would decrease during the remainder of the year. With both Brent and WTI below the…
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After their last meeting, the BOE warned that 5 quarters of negative growth were coming. The consensus of expectations shows that there could be starting with data reports from tomorrow. There is an avalanche of data before the market…
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The headline number of job gains so far this year has left policymakers quite happy. But a look under the surface shows some troubling signs. And they are expected to be exacerbated by the data forecast for tomorrow. In the context of…
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Tomorrow the US reports the first look at its Q2 GDP figures. There is already controversy even before the number is known. First, let's remember that we'll get the final number several weeks later. Following there can be some adjustments…
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Since the last Fed meeting, there have been some pretty wide variations on expectations. Initially, it was thought that the Fed's latest 75bps hike was a one-off. Then inflation data came out, and that changed the calculus, with a bunch of…
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This time around, NFP could rock the markets. Not so much because of monetary policy implications, but what they could say about the underlying economic situation. Talk of a recession keeps growing, and NFP is one of the first complete data…
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Cathie Wood, who manages ARK investments funds, is popular among retail traders. Which is not surprising, since smaller traders tend to be more bullish and growth-favoring. So, it was quite noteworthy when she came out yesterday to say that…
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Since the prior major global recession was caused by disruptions in the housing market, it's understandable that a lot of traders are paying close attention to what's going on there. The effects of the sub-prime crash are still being felt…
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Usually, the White House is the economic cheerleader for the nation. But over the weekend, economic adviser Brian Deese was on CNN, and refused to rule out that a recession was coming. "There are always risks," he said, stating the obvious…
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