Fundamental Analysis

Gold prices have largely trended sideways since the end of April. Not only that, but volatility has also shrunk, with the yellow metal trading in an increasingly narrow range. It's a dramatic change from the over 30% rise in the first four…
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The consensus among economists is that inflation in the UK during June will be well above the BOE's target. However, recent comments from Governor Andrew Bailey have put the emphasis on the labour market. With many other major central banks…
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Economists are once again predicting that inflation will accelerate as a result of tariffs. If that were to happen, it could push off expectations for the next rate cut from the Fed. But, economists have also been predicting inflation that…
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In a market constantly being buffeted by trade war news, China dropping several major data points in the coming days could be key to financial performance. The Asian giant has been the target of some of the highest tariffs, and is a key…
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Cable has been under pressure since the start of the month as the dollar has regained its mojo amid progress in trade negotiations. But part of that is also due to the shaky situation in the UK. The pound hasn't been able to capture as much…
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After hitting a high for the year, the EURUSD has been declining through most of the month. Normally, the explanation would be found in expectations around monetary policy. But, with the ECB expected to hold while the Fed is on a path…
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Markets are struggling to formulate a reaction to the latest developments in trade. A lot happened over the weekend, with a mix of both positive and negative elements for the markets. However, one trend is coalescing: increasing certainty.…
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There is a solid consensus that the RBA will agree to cut rates by 25 basis points at the end of its meeting on Tuesday. However, there are still some economists who disagree, and some have provided relatively strong comments about what is…
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Crude prices gained this week despite broad expectations that OPEC+ will implement another production increase when it meets over the weekend. There has been some positive economic news regarding demand. This was also offset by a surprise…
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Aside from some variations around geopolitical events, the price of gold seems to have plateaued a bit since late April. It's still up almost 30% since the start of the year, as a weaker dollar combines with investor interest in safe…
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