Fundamental Analysis

Markets are near unanimously expecting the FOMC to decide to keep rates unchanged at the end of the two day meeting on Wednesday. With there being a strong consensus for rates to stay unchanged at the meeting after that, it's the other data…
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The BOJ is universally expected to keep rates unchanged at its policy meeting this week. But what could affect the markets is if it changes its bond buying targets. There is substantial speculation that the BOJ could announce a change in…
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Brent Crude oil prices naturally spiked overnight following Israel's attacks on Iran. The news is still developing, with reports that Iran's nuclear facilities were targeted, as well as top military commanders. Israel said that the attacks…
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The lack of progress in reaching trade deals is starting to worry markets. One of the ways that traders are trying to get ahead of the situation is taking long positions in Asian (and Oceania) currencies. At least, according to a recent…
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Over the last couple of days there have been some rumors of what could be a political-markets bombshell. Some media outlets have speculated that current US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is being considered as a candidate for Chair of the…
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Wednesday's US CPI figures will be pivotal for the markets, as it's the last major data point ahead of next week's FOMC decision. The Fed is in its pre-rate decision blackout, meaning that there won't be any comment from officials to…
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This week sees a host of data coming out of the UK which will provide some important insight into what the BOE (Bank of england) will decide to do at its rate decision next week. Markets appear to be hoping that it will accelerate its…
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Monday's data releases will be key for commodity currencies, with a particular focus on China. There has been some doubt recently that the world's second largest economy can power through the effects of tariffs. Which is crucial for…
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The labor market in the US is expected to show signs of further deterioration when Friday's May NFP are reported. But, it's still an open question of whether the data will be bad enough for the Fed to move towards cutting rates. A…
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The European Central Bank (ECB) is widely expected to cut rates by a quarter of a point at the end of its meeting on Thursday. The question that could move markets is what happens after that. There is a fair consensus that the July meeting…
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