Fundamental Analysis

Traders hoping for a quiet long weekend with the US and the UK closed for holiday on Monday the 26th might be up for disappointment. US President Donald Trump has developed a habit of making major market-moving announcements over the…
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The BOJ is in a pretty difficult spot with the current economic situation. Which means it's also harder for the markets to figure out what will happen. With major forces pushing the Bank of Japan (BOJ)in different directions, it might just…
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The release of flash PMIs from certain key economies on Thursday is likely to give some key insight into how tariffs are affecting economies. This could be particularly important for the Euro and the dollar, as there is considerable debate…
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The consensus among economists is that inflation in the UK accelerated in April. But, this is not expected to shift the outlook for the BOE, because the increase is baked into the model. But, it does provide a platform to keep the pound…
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Markets are generally expecting a rate cut from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) at the conclusion of Tuesday's meeting. But there is a wide range of disagreement about what could happen. The majority is inclined for a 25 bps cut. But…
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Next week starts with some data that could shake up or reaffirm the market's confidence in the future. The last few days have seen markets moving back to a risk-on profile, with stocks rising and safe havens falling. This has left gold and…
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Japan's central bank has been cautiously trying to raise rates for over a year now. With the economy staying in the green, it had room to do so. But, now that the consensus of economists points to the first negative GDP reading since the…
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The EURUSD has revered to a downward trend over the last week, mostly as a result of dollar strength. But on the European side, there doesn't seem to be much that could help arrest the fall. That is, if the dollar continues to gain. The…
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With the FOMC meeting fresh in everyone's mind, traders are going to be paying very close attention to US CPI figures coming out on Tuesday. The argument from economists and the Fed itself is that tariffs will likely cause higher consumer…
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Last week's BOE meeting was a bit of a surprise to the markets. This week we get a series of key data points to see if the trend left by the rate cut will persist. Traders are looking at a slightly more hawkish central bank in London, but…
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