Fundamental Analysis

The Gold prices have been on a tear lately, gaining over 5% in less than two days. The price got just shy of $3,370/oz, before coming down with a bit of profit taking ahead of the long weekend. While the recent moves have been dramatic,…
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It seems markets and economists are finally coalescing around the expectation that the ECB will cut rates by 25 bps on Thursday. But, it's been a long road with a lot of twists and turns to reach that point. And there is understandably…
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There is considerable uncertainty about what the BOC will do at the conclusion of its policy meeting on Wednesday. With all that's going on with tariffs, news could drop at any moment that could shake up the markets. Combining these…
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The tariff situation is not just an issue for traders, as it is proving to be a headache for central banks as well. This has added an unusual amount of ambiguity into what could be expected from interest rate policy going forward. And it's…
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Earnings season is most directly related to equities, but the change in market sentiment typically does affect currency markets. Particularly large shifts in investor appetite around stocks and provide large moves in forex, as we have been…
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The UK economy is expected to report a rebound on Friday, but the cheer might be short lived. Analysts point to clouds gathering on the horizon, unsurprisingly related to the trade war. While the UK has managed to avoid the brunt US…
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One of the truisms of trading, which is particularly relevant to forex, is that the most successful traders tend to be the best at mitigating risk. This makes the market particularly skittish if not outright paranoid. The market will…
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Markets have been so overwhelmed by the tariffs issue that they have been ignoring key data recently. But if the fears around the trade war push the market beyond the fundamentals, at some point the market will have to recenter. This is why…
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