Fundamental Analysis

Wednesday's US CPI figures will be pivotal for the markets, as it's the last major data point ahead of next week's FOMC decision. The Fed is in its pre-rate decision blackout, meaning that there won't be any comment from officials to…
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This week sees a host of data coming out of the UK which will provide some important insight into what the BOE (Bank of england) will decide to do at its rate decision next week. Markets appear to be hoping that it will accelerate its…
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Monday's data releases will be key for commodity currencies, with a particular focus on China. There has been some doubt recently that the world's second largest economy can power through the effects of tariffs. Which is crucial for…
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The labor market in the US is expected to show signs of further deterioration when Friday's May NFP are reported. But, it's still an open question of whether the data will be bad enough for the Fed to move towards cutting rates. A…
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The European Central Bank (ECB) is widely expected to cut rates by a quarter of a point at the end of its meeting on Thursday. The question that could move markets is what happens after that. There is a fair consensus that the July meeting…
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Up until quite recently, the markets were betting that the BOC (Bank Of Canada) would cut rates at Wednesday's meeting. But last week's surprisingly strong GDP data has changed that perception. The market is pricing in a more likely…
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the Aussie (AUDUSD) has been stuck going kind of sideways for the last month or so. There have been plenty of ups and downs, but it seems the market needs something a little more convincing to break out of the range. Up until the huge…
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Markets will keenly watch the different versions of purchasing managers index out of China over the weekend and early next week. The data will likely be pivotal for several commodity currencies, though could have an effect farther afield…
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Markets are reacting to a surprise development in the trade war saga. A little-known Federal trade court in Manhattan issued a ruling late on Wednesday that the President doesn't have the authority to make such large tariff moves. The…
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What will actually move the dollar this week is if we finally get concrete news of a new trade deal. But, since that is entirely unpredictable at this point, let's stick to the data. And there are plenty of reasons for the FOMC minutes and…
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