Fundamental Analysis

This week has an avalanche of economic data out of the UK. But the figure that many traders are likely to focus on is the release of Q2 growth figures on Thursday. That's because of the surprisingly hawkish stance the BOE took last week…
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The major data event this week for the markets is likely to be Tuesday's release of US CPI figures. That's because the outlook for the Fed's rate policy is starting to shift. As a result, the dollar has resumed its fall, affecting most of…
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As far as the markets and economists are concerned, Tuesday's RBA 25 bps rate cut is a done deal. At the last meeting, most economists were surprised when Australia's central bank decided to keep rates unchanged. The RBA argued that the…
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Earlier this year, gold prices rose relatively quickly, scoring new record highs one after another. By the end of April, it had accumulated gains of over 30%, a feat that hadn't happened in years. But, since then, gold has failed to make…
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Over the weekend, China will report its inflation figures for July. Usually, CPI is a key indicator for a currency, but China's control over the exchange rate means that the market cares more about the secondary effects of this data. As a…
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Economists are pretty unanimous, and for once, the market agrees that the BOE will cut rates at Thursday's meeting. The issue is that usually, with such agreement, the focus for markets is guidance for the next meeting. However, there is…
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On Thursday, all eyes will be on China's July trade balance as traders gauge the impact of Trump's trade war and the outlook for the global economy. China's imports are, of course, vital for the Australian economy so the Aussie could be…
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Friday's job data was such a surprise and so crucial to the markets that it could obscure this week's major market event. Expectations around what the Fed will do in September have shifted radically. Some headlines are even asking whether…
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Markets were on an upswing this week, after the EU-US trade deal and strong earnings from US tech firms. But there was some trepidation as Friday is August 1st, when the 90-day moratorium on the "Liberation Day" tariffs would run out. And,…
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The flash reading of July CPI for the Eurozone will come out on Friday, as the ECB sets off on a new course of action. The EURUSD has been declining this week, but that has been chiefly attributable to events in the US. The question is…
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