Fundamental Analysis

Perceptions about what the outlook for rates in Australia are have shifted substantially since the last RBA meeting. Even policy setters themselves have changed their position. This has left markets more vulnerable to a surprise at next…
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In the aftermath of the Fed's most recent rate cut, markets were fairly confident that rates would continue to decline. Since then, some of that optimism has faded. Part of that can be attributed to Fed Chair Jerome Powell's comments on…
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It's said that everything that goes up, must come down. But, it seems that the fundamentals are lining up for gold to break the laws of physics. There is no guarantee that gold will launch into orbit, and an upward trend will certainly have…
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The Kiwi dollar was in the news on Tuesday as reports indicated that New Zealand's Finance Minister Nicola Willis would announce a new governor for the RBNZ. We should recall that the central bank has been without an official head since…
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The event that could have the most significant impact on the Euro and pound this week is the release of Tuesday's Global Flash PMI figures. Part of that has to do with both currencies being affected by cross-Atlantic asset flows. The latest…
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The stock market and Forex are related, but often, currency traders can focus on their area without paying too much attention to what's happening in equities. However, the stock market occasionally flashes warning signs that are beneficial…
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Economists are unanimous in expecting that the BOJ will keep rates unchanged at the end of its meeting on Friday. Futures markets agree. But some complications could move the USDJPY in the aftermath of the meeting. The focus for the…
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Markets and economists are unanimous in expecting that the BOE will hold rates unchanged at Thursday's meeting. But that doesn't mean cable will sail through the event unscathed. Traders will be looking for clues on when the next rate cut…
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There is an overwhelming consensus among futures markets and economists that the Fed will cut rates at the end of its two-day meeting on Wednesday. The vast majority are betting on 25 bps of easing, with the disagreement being from those…
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The consensus for the moment is that the BOC will cut interest rates by 25 bps on Wednesday, just hours before the Fed is projected to do the same. However, that consensus is a bit shaky, given uncertainty around tariffs and trade…
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