Fundamental Analysis

There's been a pretty open debate among ECB (European Central Bank) members about whether to cut rates or pause at the upcoming meeting. The last major data point that could give a clearer indication on what to expect will be coming out…
Read More

The market is in as close to agreement as it can be that the RBNZ will cut rates when its May meeting ends on Tuesday. But there is considerable uncertainty about what it will do after that, allowing for the chance of a 50bps cut. Which…
Read More

Traders hoping for a quiet long weekend with the US and the UK closed for holiday on Monday the 26th might be up for disappointment. US President Donald Trump has developed a habit of making major market-moving announcements over the…
Read More

The BOJ is in a pretty difficult spot with the current economic situation. Which means it's also harder for the markets to figure out what will happen. With major forces pushing the Bank of Japan (BOJ)in different directions, it might just…
Read More

The release of flash PMIs from certain key economies on Thursday is likely to give some key insight into how tariffs are affecting economies. This could be particularly important for the Euro and the dollar, as there is considerable debate…
Read More

The consensus among economists is that inflation in the UK accelerated in April. But, this is not expected to shift the outlook for the BOE, because the increase is baked into the model. But, it does provide a platform to keep the pound…
Read More

Markets are generally expecting a rate cut from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) at the conclusion of Tuesday's meeting. But there is a wide range of disagreement about what could happen. The majority is inclined for a 25 bps cut. But…
Read More

Next week starts with some data that could shake up or reaffirm the market's confidence in the future. The last few days have seen markets moving back to a risk-on profile, with stocks rising and safe havens falling. This has left gold and…
Read More

Japan's central bank has been cautiously trying to raise rates for over a year now. With the economy staying in the green, it had room to do so. But, now that the consensus of economists points to the first negative GDP reading since the…
Read More

The EURUSD has revered to a downward trend over the last week, mostly as a result of dollar strength. But on the European side, there doesn't seem to be much that could help arrest the fall. That is, if the dollar continues to gain. The…
Read More