Fundamental Analysis

Friday's job data was such a surprise and so crucial to the markets that it could obscure this week's major market event. Expectations around what the Fed will do in September have shifted radically. Some headlines are even asking whether…
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Markets were on an upswing this week, after the EU-US trade deal and strong earnings from US tech firms. But there was some trepidation as Friday is August 1st, when the 90-day moratorium on the "Liberation Day" tariffs would run out. And,…
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The flash reading of July CPI for the Eurozone will come out on Friday, as the ECB sets off on a new course of action. The EURUSD has been declining this week, but that has been chiefly attributable to events in the US. The question is…
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Over the last few months, PMI indicators were closely followed for signs of the effects of tariffs. The survey includes two key elements that are likely to be influenced by increased import levies. Those are pricing and orders. Pricing can…
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There is a massive amount of US data coming out this week, with the most proximal events that could shake up the markets being US GDP and the FOMC rate decision. There is near-unanimous agreement in the market and among economists that the…
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There is a busy corporate calendar in the days ahead, with three major central banks deciding what to do with interest rates. While both the BOJ and BOC are forecast to hold rates unchanged, the differing circumstances may result in…
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Cable has trended lower lately, becoming the worst-performing major currency. And that's even considering that the dollar weakened. So, does that mean The Pound (GBPUSD) will continue to trend lower? Or has it finally reached bottom, and…
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Headlines surrounding the Fed are focusing on inflation stemming from tariffs and the weaker job market. After all, that has been what FOMC officials have mostly commented on, and it correlates with the Fed's dual mandate. But the housing…
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Economists are unanimous in their expectations that the ECB will keep rates unchanged on Thursday at the conclusion of its policy meeting. After all, the June CPI report for the Eurozone showed inflation was precisely on target at 2.0%.…
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Global markets are watching trade negotiations with a certain amount of trepidation. Risk appetite has shifted towards safety, as the failure to reach trade deals is seen as likely to harm economic growth. This is particularly concerning…
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