The ECB held its ECB Watchers conference on Wednesday last week. Policy makers at the central bank reassured that they remain cautious on making further adjustments to the monetary policy. The comments underlined the risks towards growth and the slower pace of inflation which has failed to see any inflationary pressures building despite the f...
One of the big stories dominating the markets over the first few trading weeks of the year, is reflation in both Europe and the US. These battling forces have created an interesting environment and investors and traders are split over which side of the pond will prevail after current increases in USD weakness. USD Stalling Despite Fed...
With the New Year and a new trading week ahead and economic releases in full swing, traders will have little time to get over the holiday hangover. As the New Year has already dawned upon us, the year ahead will see quite a few questions being asked. Orbex has five questions for the markets in 2018. Has the era of easy monetary policy finally...
The markets will be looking to a short trading week as the holiday season kicks in. Economic details are sparse with not many market moving events lined up over the week. Trading volumes are also expected to remain light which could see some erratic market behavior into the end of the year. The lack of macro-economic data could also mean tha...
Tomorrow we will examine the year as a whole in our 2017 review webinar, yesterday we looked at the big consensus calls for 2017 and how those early forecasts played out. Let’s now look at how this translated into price movement over the year, starting with which currency performed best and worst. Best Performing Currency: Euro ...
Data Points To Higher Growth The growth outlook for the eurozone remains solid following the latest data release which saw the first estimate of Q3 growth coming in above expectations at 0.6% while Q2 growth was revised higher from 0.6% to 0.7%. Given the continued strength shown in business surveys, Q4 GDP is expected to show growth also. A fu...
Summary: German Ifo business climate hits the highest level since 1991 Businesses optimistic on economic outlook ECB minutes show members differ on announcing QE end date Eurozone flash manufacturing and services PMI rise strongly in November The common currency had opened last week on a somber note as reports about the coalitio...
For the 2nd time in almost one year, the EUR/GBP exchange rate attempts and fails to hit the headline-grabbing parity level 1-1. During the Eurozone crisis, a popular opinion backed the euro to fall towards the GBP 0.50 level. After the Brexit referendum, popular views shifted towards expecting GBP 1.0 per one euro. But EURGBP is down 5% this ...
Political Risks Remain Elevated The last 12 months have been a constant source of political event-risk with Brexit, the US elections, and European elections all causing elevated volatility at times. Heading into the final third of 2017 this trend shows no signs of slowing down as the market prepares for German and Italian elections. However, th...
The week ahead is poised to remain quiet with most of the economic releases focusing on the second-tier data. Therefore, the Jackson Hole Symposium which takes place every year will be the main highlight. The symposium is scheduled to begin on Thursday, and key highlights include speeches by the respective policymakers from the ECB and the Feder...
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