Fundamental Analysis

Markets are entering an extended holiday trading period, during which assets tend to behave differently than during the rest of the year. There are multiple reasons for this, which can help people better understand the market's dynamics for…
Read More

After the last major data release in December, markets usually settle in for a couple of weeks of holiday trading. Tuesday sees the final market-moving economic event of the year with the publication of the US GDP. After that, many large…
Read More

Markets are settling into the extended year-end holidays, with slow news and low trading volumes, and one major data release this week that could substantially shake things up. Tuesday sees the release of additional data delayed by the US…
Read More

As the trading year winds down ahead of the Christmas holiday season, it's worth taking a moment to reflect on what drove the markets over the last twelve months to get a baseline for what to expect in the year ahead. One aspect to consider…
Read More

It looks like the BOJ is finally going to go through with a rate hike at Friday's meeting. The last time Japan's central bank raised rates was in January, and inflation has remained well above target. Officials have sought to curb consumer…
Read More

The Euro has generally appreciated over the last week as traders become more convinced that the next move from the ECB will be a hike. The question is whether that will be signaled at the upcoming meeting. Markets and economists are…
Read More

The consensus among economists is unanimous that the BOE will cut interest rates by 25 bps on Thursday. But analysts expect the vote split to be razor-thin, meaning that markets will likely react to the outlook. Economists and the market…
Read More

This week sees the first release of official major US data since the shutdown, with markets keen to get an update on the state of the American economy. The immediate effect on the markets might be somewhat blunted, considering how soon…
Read More

Over the past couple of months, senior ECB officials have repeatedly stated that inflation and interest rates are in the right place. But nothing is permanent in the economy, and it's only a matter of time before the situation changes.…
Read More

Cable has been rising since its November lows amid a combination of factors. For one, the uncertainty around the Autumn Budget has largely been resolved. UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves appears at least for now to have found the sweet spot of…
Read More