Fundamental Analysis

This month, stock markets have made a remarkable recovery, with among the fastest gains on record. According to some estimates, as much as $6T in market cap has been gained since April 1st. And this is naturally bleeding over into the…
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Thursday has the release of the most important data that could affect the GBPUSD this week. There has been considerable uncertainty about what to expect from the BOE, leading to wide swings in market forecasts over the last few weeks. While…
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The most important data release for dollar pairs could be on Tuesday with the release of PPI figures for March from the US. As traders try to figure out what will happen with interest rates in the turbulent circumstances, gold prices could…
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Markets are showing disappointment over the failure to end the war in the Middle East over the weekend. Brent shot up to almost $105 per barrel and gold dropped below $4,700 with the dollar being the clear winner. However, those are…
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The key data releases for next week will centre around China, as it reports its trade balance and is the first major economy to post Q1 GDP figures. This will provide valuable market insight into how the war in the Middle East is impacting…
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Markets rallied on Wednesday after both the US and Iran said they'd agreed to a ceasefire to negotiate terms to end the war in Iran. Risk trades unwound quickly, pushing stock markets higher, the dollar lower and supporting gold. Crude…
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There are two key data points that are shaping the behaviour of the dollar and gold this week. The first is on Wednesday, with the release of the minutes of the last FOMC meeting, which will provide insight into how the Fed will interpret…
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After posting the highest monthly gain ever in March, crude prices closed out Q1 almost doubling. March also saw the highest one-day jump in crude prices ever recorded. And that includes the massive 1970 oil embargo crisis, and both of the…
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The NZD has been one of the most affected currencies by the sudden spike in fuel prices, and it seems the RBNZ isn't in a position to provide support. The economic underperformance before the outbreak of the war puts the central bank in a…
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This month's release of the all-important NFP figures will be a bit unusual. Most global markets will be closed on Friday, when the data is released, so there won't be a knee-jerk reaction to the figures. Traders will have all weekend to…
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