Fundamental Analysis

Brent fell below $100 per barrel on Wednesday after US President Donald Trump pushed a 15-point plan to cease hostilities with Iran. Markets reacted to optimism over ending the conflict, sending oil lower, gold higher, and unravelling some…
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The roller-coaster ride for gold has continued this week, falling to almost $4,100 on Monday, but bouncing back to just below $4,500 since then. Some traders might be wondering if it will settle at this point for now, while others wonder if…
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Markets will be looking at the upcoming UK data to get a baseline for how energy price increases could affect the economy. This will be important in determining the timing of the first BOE hike and could therefore influence pound pairs.…
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Tuesday could see the most important data release of the week, as traders are desperate for data on how the war in the Middle East is actually affecting the economy. Flash PMI figures are the first bit of major data from the period after…
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Over the last week, 16 central banks held policy decision meetings, including major ones like the Fed, ECB, and BOE. While the vast majority kept interest rates unchanged, the tone and outlook they gave generated a sea change in perceptions…
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When the war in the Middle East started, most traders immediately thought of oil, because around 20% of the global supply of petroleum goes through the Strait of Hormuz. But, there are other products that are even more highly concentrated…
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Market expectations around the future of monetary policy have fluctuated wildly over the last couple of weeks. But for the two major central banks in Europe, a consensus seems to have formed on what to expect from policy. Markets could…
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The Fed is widely expected to keep rates unchanged at the conclusion of its policy meeting on Wednesday. But the outcome and the effect on the market could be complicated by a few factors. The one getting the most attention now is the…
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Amid a busy week in which practically all major central banks hold meetings, the BOJ will also decide on its monetary policy on Thursday. As the yen (USDJPY) has weakened substantially over the last couple of weeks, the BOJ has come under…
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During a geopolitical crisis like the one the world is facing now, it's normal for safe-haven demand to increase. Usually, that means gold prices rise. But, despite the war in the Middle East, gold is set for its second consecutive week of…
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