Fundamental Analysis

This month's release of the all-important NFP figures will be a bit unusual. Most global markets will be closed on Friday, when the data is released, so there won't be a knee-jerk reaction to the figures. Traders will have all weekend to…
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The war in the Middle East has been a paradigm shift for Forex markets. Beyond the obvious concern about a supply shock from energy and geopolitical uncertainty that has taken over the headlines, there is a more fundamental issue affecting…
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According to official stats released early on Tuesday, factory activity in China actually increased in March. This came as a surprise to markets, which were expecting a contraction. It is particularly notable because China is the world's…
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Tuesday sees potentially the most important data release for the most traded Forex pair: the Eurozone March CPI. That's because there is considerable disagreement in the market over what to expect from the ECB next month, and the inflation…
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The biggest March forex moves have been shaped by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, affecting not only currencies but also commodities. Central bank decisions have also been influenced by the situation, adding to market uncertainty.…
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Brent fell below $100 per barrel on Wednesday after US President Donald Trump pushed a 15-point plan to cease hostilities with Iran. Markets reacted to optimism over ending the conflict, sending oil lower, gold higher, and unravelling some…
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The roller-coaster ride for gold has continued this week, falling to almost $4,100 on Monday, but bouncing back to just below $4,500 since then. Some traders might be wondering if it will settle at this point for now, while others wonder if…
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Markets will be looking at the upcoming UK data to get a baseline for how energy price increases could affect the economy. This will be important in determining the timing of the first BOE hike and could therefore influence pound pairs.…
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Tuesday could see the most important data release of the week, as traders are desperate for data on how the war in the Middle East is actually affecting the economy. Flash PMI figures are the first bit of major data from the period after…
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Over the last week, 16 central banks held policy decision meetings, including major ones like the Fed, ECB, and BOE. While the vast majority kept interest rates unchanged, the tone and outlook they gave generated a sea change in perceptions…
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