Fundamental Analysis

Several major economies report flash PMI figures on Friday, but the focus is likely to be on Europe, with the pound and Euro potentially moving substantially in response. Overall, global PMIs are crucial for the market because they are…
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The ECB is widely expected to keep rates unchanged at the end of its rate decision meeting on Thursday, with the main focus being on the statement and President Christine Lagarde's comments. The market is expecting that she will lay the…
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Global events like wars naturally have a bigger impact on currencies than on business events, so most forex traders don't pay that much attention to stocks. But the stock market is not entirely disconnected from forex, and at times business…
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It will be a busy week for cable traders, with several key events that could affect the pound, some of which are hard to predict given their political nature. This could leave the market a bit depressed at the beginning of the week as…
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One of the more important events for commodity currencies could happen this weekend, as the People's Bank of China (PBOC) will hold its monthly policy meeting on Sunday. Markets find the event difficult to predict, and there are no formal…
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The dollar weakened substantially in the second half of the week after US inflation came in cooler than expected. This provides a meaningful trade setup, as it implies that policy in the US could (once again) diverge from global trends. For…
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Thursday's UK GDP report could play a major role in shaping the pound's direction. Domestic political uncertainty already weighs on the currency. The renewed conflict between the US and Iran has also revived inflation concerns. As a result,…
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Forex Impact of the US-Iran War Restarting
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The latest flare-up in Middle East tensions could shape market reactions to this week's key economic events on Tuesday. The latest US CPI report will be released shortly before Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivers his first semiannual…
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Markets are reacting to conflicting news about the situation in the Strait of Hormuz, but the lack of clarity is proving particularly frustrating for traders seeking to price in risk. For a second time, Iran targeted shipping that was…
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