Fundamental Analysis

When the war in the Middle East started, most traders immediately thought of oil, because around 20% of the global supply of petroleum goes through the Strait of Hormuz. But, there are other products that are even more highly concentrated…
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Market expectations around the future of monetary policy have fluctuated wildly over the last couple of weeks. But for the two major central banks in Europe, a consensus seems to have formed on what to expect from policy. Markets could…
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The Fed is widely expected to keep rates unchanged at the conclusion of its policy meeting on Wednesday. But the outcome and the effect on the market could be complicated by a few factors. The one getting the most attention now is the…
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Amid a busy week in which practically all major central banks hold meetings, the BOJ will also decide on its monetary policy on Thursday. As the yen (USDJPY) has weakened substantially over the last couple of weeks, the BOJ has come under…
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During a geopolitical crisis like the one the world is facing now, it's normal for safe-haven demand to increase. Usually, that means gold prices rise. But, despite the war in the Middle East, gold is set for its second consecutive week of…
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The UK was set for a fairly positive start to the year, allowing the pound to be relatively stronger against its peers. Even amid the market chaos from the war in the Middle East, the pound has been one of the better-performing currencies…
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One of the interesting currencies to follow amid the war with Iran has been the Canadian dollar. It had been on a weakening track in late February, but has since reversed course and is even gaining despite the stronger greenback. The main…
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Financial markets are in increasing disarray as the war in the Middle East drags on. Possibly, some of last week's losses were tempered by hopes that the situation would be resolved quickly. But, after US President Donald Trump signalled…
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The Euro(EURUSD) could be particularly vulnerable to the long-term effects of the US-Israeli attack on Iran, as markets reposition to price in a global supply-side inflation shock. The EURUSD keeps trying to break lower as Eurozone assets…
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Markets will be looking at the major data release for the week on Friday, and will take a break from geopolitical news to focus on something more familiar: market risk around US jobs numbers. January's NFP came in surprisingly strong, but…
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