Fundamental Analysis

2025 was a highly active year for currencies, and there are numerous indications that 2026 will continue at least some of the patterns we've seen over the last 12 months. While trade was the major theme driving markets this year, the…
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One of the major themes for the last year that had an important influence on currency markets last year was government spending. Generally, Forex is less affected by particular policies or political situations in given countries. But…
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Markets are entering an extended holiday trading period, during which assets tend to behave differently than during the rest of the year. There are multiple reasons for this, which can help people better understand the market's dynamics for…
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After the last major data release in December, markets usually settle in for a couple of weeks of holiday trading. Tuesday sees the final market-moving economic event of the year with the publication of the US GDP. After that, many large…
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Markets are settling into the extended year-end holidays, with slow news and low trading volumes, and one major data release this week that could substantially shake things up. Tuesday sees the release of additional data delayed by the US…
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As the trading year winds down ahead of the Christmas holiday season, it's worth taking a moment to reflect on what drove the markets over the last twelve months to get a baseline for what to expect in the year ahead. One aspect to consider…
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It looks like the BOJ is finally going to go through with a rate hike at Friday's meeting. The last time Japan's central bank raised rates was in January, and inflation has remained well above target. Officials have sought to curb consumer…
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The Euro has generally appreciated over the last week as traders become more convinced that the next move from the ECB will be a hike. The question is whether that will be signaled at the upcoming meeting. Markets and economists are…
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The consensus among economists is unanimous that the BOE will cut interest rates by 25 bps on Thursday. But analysts expect the vote split to be razor-thin, meaning that markets will likely react to the outlook. Economists and the market…
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This week sees the first release of official major US data since the shutdown, with markets keen to get an update on the state of the American economy. The immediate effect on the markets might be somewhat blunted, considering how soon…
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