Fundamental Analysis

Markets will be looking closely at Wednesday's release of PMI figures, with China and Europe top of mind for many traders. The data provides the most up-to-date snapshot of the economic situation in each country, which could become a…
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Markets are still reacting to the US-Israel attack on Iran that started over the weekend, right in the window that had been anticipated. Crude prices jumped at the open, as was to be expected, given that the market hadn't priced in the risk…
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The tensions in the Middle East have generated some interesting patterns in crude and gold prices. Oil has been more volatile, as might be expected given that it is more directly impacted if war breaks out along the Strait of Hormuz. But…
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For months, the ECB's mantra has been that inflation and, therefore, monetary policy are in "a good place". This has led the market and economists to expect no rate changes in the Eurozone this year. However, inflation is starting to move…
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The yen(USDJPY) fell to a two-week low on Wednesday amid changes in the BOJ's board and ahead of Tokyo inflation figures later in the week. Meanwhile, the Aussie dollar jumped after hotter-than-expected inflation raised the odds of more RBA…
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Markets are still processing the effects of last Friday's Supreme Court ruling that ended the "reciprocal" tariffs that sparked the global trade war. The Trump Administration also seems to still be adjusting to the new legal landscape,…
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Markets are giving mixed reactions to Friday's US Supreme Court ruling invalidating the "Liberation Day" tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump last April. The initial reaction was positive, with a surge in risk appetite. But after…
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Three major assets are higher on Friday, all driven by the combination of two factors that caught the market by surprise. Those are the dollar, gold and crude. Tensions between US and Iran are high now amid rumors that US President Donald…
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Friday has the release of flash PMI figures from several major economies, which normally move the market. However, a theme that has been developing over the last few months suggests that this time around, the data will have a greater impact…
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The Fed is entering a transition period in which a new Chair is expected to set the tone for monetary policy. This creates some market uncertainty, which could affect dollar pairs. It's particularly acute this time around, given US…
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