Intraday Market Analysis – The Canadian Dollar Softens
USDCAD bounces off support
The US dollar found support from a rise in personal income in March. The pair previously found resistance at March’s high around 1.2880.
A bearish RSI divergence suggests a loss of momentum in the upward push. However, price action’s swift recovery from 1.2720 showed strong commitment from the buy-side.
A close above 1.2880 would bring the greenback to December’s high at 1.2960, where a breakout could trigger an extended rally. 1.2600 on the 30-day moving average is another major area of interest.
EURCHF grinds higher
The euro bounces back as core inflation across the eurozone accelerated to 3.5% in April.
On the daily chart, the pair is in a narrowing consolidation between 1.0100 and 1.0370, a sign of stabilization after February’s sharp drop. Solid support above 1.0190 indicates a strong interest in keeping the euro afloat.
1.0290 is the next hurdle and a bullish breakout could flush remaining selling interests out and extend the rally to the major supply area at 1.0370. On the downside, 1.0140 is a second line of defense in case of hesitation.
GER 40 struggles to rebound
The Dax 40 weakens as the energy crisis in Europe casts doubt on growth. A bullish RSI divergence indicates a slowdown in the current liquidation.
A break above the latest sell-off point at 14140 prompted some sellers to cover their bets, easing the pressure in the process. Nonetheless, the bulls need to clear offers around 14400 from a previously faded rebound.
Only then a broader rally may reach the March peak at 14910. Otherwise, 13850 is a fresh support, and 13580 is a key level to keep the recovery intact.