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GBPUSD 23-02-2018 Intra-day analysis

UK Q4 GDP revised lower. EU inflation data on the tap

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Daily Forex Market Preview, 23/02/2018

Data from the UK showed that the second revised estimate was lowered to 0.4% down from the first estimate of 0.5% for the quarter. This brought the annual GDP in the UK to 1.4% on the year missing estimates of 1.5%. The business investment for the quarter was also revised to show a flat print, compared to the initial estimates of 0.5%. The British Pound was seen falling on the news.

Later in the day, the New Zealand quarterly retail sales data showed a 1.7% increase on the quarter ending December 2017. This was stronger than expected as retail sales increased from 0.3% in the third quarter.

Looking ahead the data will cover the final inflation estimates for the month of January. Canada will also be releasing the inflation figures. Economists forecast a 0.4% increase on the month, which would reverse the 0.4% decline from the previous month. A number of Fed officials will also be speaking which includes Dudley, Mester and Williams.


GBPUSD 23-02-2018 Intra-day analysis

GBPUSD (1.3943): The British pound had initially weakened on the day as the currency pair posted an intraday low to 1.3856 before recovering to close the day on a higher note. Price action suggests that the support level around 1.3902 will stall the declines in the near term. Overall, GBPUSD continues to trade within the triangle pattern posting a consolidation over the medium term. A strong breakout to the downside, below 1.3902 is required for GBPUSD to resume the declines towards 1.3611 – 1.3589.



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