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Intraday Market Analysis – USD overextends

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NZDUSD tests supply zone

The New Zealand dollar bounces higher after Q2 CPI exceeded expectations. Despite a choppy price action, general sentiment remains downbeat. Trend followers have been eager to sell into strength. The latest rebound lifted offers at 0.6160, prompting some short-term sellers to cover. The bulls will need to clear the supply area around 0.6200 before they could push for a meaningful recovery. 0.6120 is the closest support. A breakout could cause a sell-off below 0.6070 and then send the kiwi to the psychological level of 0.6000.

XAGUSD sees limited rebound

Silver recoups losses as risk assets recover at the expense of the US dollar. As the price approaches July 2020’s lows around 17.80, an oversold RSI on the daily chart suggests potential exhaustion in the current downtrend. The precious metal could use a rebound to take a breather. The RSI’s oversold situation on the hourly chart triggered a ‘buying-the-dips’ behaviour. 19.40 has proven to be a tough resistance to crack and could cap the bounce. A bullish breakout, however, would trigger an extended rally above 20.00.

GER 40 bounces off critical support

The Dax 40 consolidates ahead of the ECB interest rate decision later this week. The price action has been treading water over last March’s low near 12420, which suggests interest in keeping the index from dipping into bearish territory. However, the buy side needs to show stronger commitment to turn sentiment around. A rally above the psychological level of 13000 may attract more follow-up buying. On the downside, a fall below 12680 would send the index back to the bulls’ last stronghold at 12420.

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