GBPUSD 02-05-2018 Intra-day analysis.

Daily Forex Market Preview, 02/05/2018

The U.S. dollar was seen maintaining the bullish momentum on the day. European markets were closed on account of the 1^st May bank holiday. Economic data showed that the UK’s manufacturing PMI was weaker than expected at 53.9.

In the U.S. the ISM manufacturing PMI was seen falling to 57.3 missing forecasts of 58.4 and slower than the March PMI reading of 59.3.

On the political front, the U.S. administration was seen exempting South Korea, Mexico, Canada and the EU from the steel and aluminum tariffs that were due to come into effect from the 1^st of May. However, the exemption is not long term as the U.S. only delayed the tariffs by 30 days for the above nations.

Looking ahead, the economic calendar today will mark the release of the UK’s construction PMI data which will conclude the monthly PMI’s for April. Economists forecast that the UK’s construction activity slightly improved to 50.5 after falling into contraction the month before.

The Eurozone will be releasing the manufacturing and services PMI data for the month of April. No major changes are expected but activity is expected to remain subdued. The flash GDP estimates for the first quarter will also be released this week. The Eurozone GDP is forecast to rise 0.4% on the quarter, marking a slower pace of increased from 0.6% in the previous quarter.

The FOMC statement will take center-stage today. No changes are expected to the short-term interest rates. There will be no press conference or any economic projections.

 

 

GBPUSD 02-05-2018 Intra-day analysis

GBPUSD (1.3612): The British pound continued the declines yesterday following the doji pattern that was formed the previous day. The breakout from the long term rising trend line indicates that GBPUSD is likely to push lower. The next main support level is seen at 1.3530 which could be tested in the near term. A rebound in prices cannot be ruled out as we expect to see a modest correction in the near term. Further declines cannot be ruled out if GBPUSD breaks below 1.3530 which will see the next support level at 1.3500 coming into the picture.