EURUSD 13-04-2018 Intra-day analysis

Dovish ECB minutes pull euro lower

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Daily Forex Market Preview, 13/04/2018

The euro currency was seen extending the declines on the day after the ECB meeting minutes provided to be more dovish than expected. The minutes released yesterday saw officials downplaying the change to the ECB’s monetary policy statement. The central bank cited risks from the global trade uncertainty and the recent strengthening of the exchange rate.

Gold prices also gave up the gains from earlier this week after tensions surrounding the U.S. administration’s remarks on Syria and Russia eased. Equity markets rallied as risk sentiment improved.

Looking ahead, the economic calendar for the day is relatively quiet. Only the German final inflation figures will be coming out in the early part of the day. Economists forecast that the German inflation rose at a pace of 0.4%, matching the flash estimates. Later in the day, the trade balance figures from the Eurozone will be coming out. Following the decline in German imports and exports, it is expected that the Eurozone trade balance would also narrow.

In the NY trading session, the preliminary inflation expectations will be released by the University of Michigan.

EURUSD 13-04-2018 Intra-day analysis

EURUSD (1.2328): The EURUSD gave up the gains yesterday as the ECB minutes proved to be dovish. Price action was however contained within the price levels of 1.2400 and 1.2250. The euro fell to the lower bound briefly testing the support at this level before bouncing back higher. We expect this range to continue in the short term. However, with support likely to stall the declines at 1.2250, there is scope for the EURUSD to potentially push higher. A breakout from the rang will establish further direction in price.


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