USDJPY 01-02-2018 Intra-day analysis

USD unchanged on FOMC meeting and ADP payrolls

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Daily Forex Market Preview, 01/02/2018

The FOMC meeting yesterday saw no changes to interest rates as widely expected. The central bank however came out with a hawkish statement as it said that inflation could move closer to the Fed’s 2% target rate over the medium term. Yesterday’s Fed meeting was also the final FOMC meeting chaired by Janet Yellen. The Fed committee also elected Jerome Powell as the next governor of the Federal Reserve. The U.S. dollar was broadly unchanged after the FOMC meeting.

The ADP payrolls data showed that the U.S. economy added 234k jobs during the month of January beating estimates of 186k. Previous month’s job numbers were slightly revised down to 242k.

Elsewhere, the Eurozone inflation data showed that consumer prices increased at a slower pace of 1.3% on the headline while core inflation picked up 1.0% in January. This was slightly faster than the 0.9% increase seen the month before.

Looking ahead the British manufacturing PMI data will be coming out today with the index forecast to rise slightly from 56.3 previously to 56.5. Later in the day, the ISM manufacturing PMI from the U.S. will be released.


USDJPY intra-day analysis

USDJPY (109.27): The USDJPY managed to post a rebound yesterday. This comes after a brief dip back to the support level at 108.64. The bullish recovery can be expected if USDJPY manages to hold on to the gains at the current level. Upside target is seen at the resistance level of 110.44 – 110.34 level which previously served as support. Establishing resistance here could potentially keep USDJPY range bound within the said levels. To the downside, the risks increase if USDJPY breaks down below 108.64 – 108.26 levels.




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