On the short -term the market the market still ranging between 1.1000 and 1.1500 levels as awaiting a more data to decide the new mid-term direction.
Now the market has reached the upper band of our expected trading zone ; however , after penetration for the levels of 1.1250 would be more bullish action to be generated and drive the market to the 1.15 levels, but the market not successful to stay above 1.12 then return to negative trading below 1.1100, ( which is now the more probable scenario according the market price action ) noting that price holding above 1.1050 is a key condition to achieve the expected targets – in case the market ; failed to continue its short-term uptrend and successfully traded below 1.12 , then a correction phase and a re-test for the major support which were broken out on the last session days ( 1.1030 , 1.0888).
On the longer-term view : the market on the down trend driven by a lot of factors ; moreover , a levels below 1.04s is expected and parity exchange rate would be in the next half of 2015.
Daily Trend: Down
Weekly Trend: Down