Fundamental Analysis

With the political drama in Italy pushing up peripheral yields, the markets need some potentially positive news out of the shared economy if a rebound is to be expected. PMIs have a good record of setting risk sentiment for the day. But the…
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The BOJ holds its interest rate decision in the early hours of Thursday. There is a pretty solid consensus that there won't be any change in policy. While inflation has been slowly ticking higher, the BOJ's projections expect it to fall…
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The BOE has a problem, and tomorrow's data could make things worse. As the market looks for guidance for where the pound could be heading, this means traders also have a problem. The BOE was the first of the major central banks to start…
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Tomorrow we get the release of the final June CPI figures for the Euro Area. Since we already had the preliminary numbers at the start of the month, it's much less likely to catch the market by surprise. But, there could be a lot more…
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There has been quite a shift in the markets over the last couple of days. Understanding that will help us understand why we should be paying very close attention to the yield curve right about now. On Wednesday, the US reported higher…
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Tomorrow is the unofficial start of Q2 earnings season, with the "big four" US banks reporting their earnings. As most corporations around the globe update investors over the coming month, we'll get a lot of insight into how the economy is…
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Tomorrow we could get the data that is the highlight of the week. US inflation figures are likely to set the mood for the markets, potentially until the Fed meets at the end of the month. Safe-haven flows have been the main driver of…
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With the Euro fast approaching parity with the dollar, there is a lot of attention on what the ECB will do at their next meeting. But, as the central bank that has waited the longest to deal with the post-pandemic inflation bout, the ECB is…
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US President Biden is holding a meeting today to discuss a plan to lift tariffs imposed on certain goods imported from China. Although it's being billed as "reversing" the Trump Administration's tariffs, the reality is a little more…
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This time around, NFP could rock the markets. Not so much because of monetary policy implications, but what they could say about the underlying economic situation. Talk of a recession keeps growing, and NFP is one of the first complete data…
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