Forex Trading Library

AUDUSD: Flat Correction Points To 70c. Top

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We talked about AUDUSD’s corrective structure a few weeks ago.

We provided an alternative scenario that had projected the end of the minor correction wave C. However, momentum weighed on prices more than anticipated and allowed wave C to extend to lower lows.

The current formation still hints at a flat pattern consisting of cycle degree sub-waves a-b-c.

Wave b was fully completed at the 0.6678 low, whereas wave c just began to form at the time of writing.

Wave c is likely to form a bullish impulse. It consists of primary sub-waves ①-②-③-④-⑤.

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Wave c could be completed at the 0.7033 high, where impulse wave started.

AUD USD

Since the last downside move is impulsive, we should also consider an alternative scenario (as depicted above) that points to an extended primary zigzag in wave b.

This scenario projects a target of 161.8% of the primary wave Ⓐ, which hints to a deeper correction near 0.6634.

The bearish move could slide towards (5) after the successful completion of the intermediate correction (4).

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