Forex Trading Library

EURCHF – Looking for the CD leg higher

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Monthly: EURCHF has staged a strong recovery since posting a low in January 2015. The rally has stalled, and a reversal posted from levels close to the 78.6% Fibonacci pullback of 1.2010. Swing low (previous support) is located at 1.1447. Marabuzo resistance (mid-point from the open and close) is located at 1.1745

Daily: We look for a bearish 5 wave Elliott wave count to be completed at 1.3668. Immediate price action to the upside has been mixed and volatile, common in corrective formations. Trend line resistance, and a possible right shoulder in a bearish Head and Shoulders formation, is located at 1.1720. Bespoke resistance is located at 1.1685. The 50% pullback level is located at 1.1685 (from 1.2001-1.1371). Four reasons why further losses should be limited:

  1. Bespoke support is located at 1.1470.
  2. Corrective formations are normally in three waves
  3. Channel support at 1.1460
  4. DeMark is close to an exhaustion count (13) on the daily chart

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