GBPUSD 07-03-2018 Intra-day analysis

USD edges lower. Australia GDP rises less than expected

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Daily Forex Market Preview, 07/03/2018

The U.S. dollar was seen closing weaker as demand for risk appetite grew. News reports about North Korea being open to talks with the U.S. lifted the markets higher. On the economic front, the Eurozone retail sector PMI was seen rising to 52.8 compared to 50.8 previously. In the U.S. factor orders were unrevised, posting a 1.4% decline on the month. This comes after five consecutive months of solid gains in the sector.

Earlier today, Australian fourth quarter GDP showed a slower than expected pact of increase. The fourth quarter GDP expanded at a slower pace of just 0.4%, down from the third quarter’s revised GDP of 0.7%. This brought the annual GDP in 2017 to 2.4%.

Looking ahead, the ADP private payrolls data will be coming out later today. Economists forecast that the economy added 199k jobs in the private sector. FOMC member Dudley will be speaking again today.

The Bank of Canada will be deciding on the interest rates today. No changes are expected as the BoC is likely to keep the interest rate unchanged at 1.25%.


GBPUSD 07-03-2018 Intra-day analysis

GBPUSD (1.3895): The British pound was seen closing higher on the day as price was seen briefly rising to the 1.3902 level of resistance. An upside breakout above this level on the daily basis could potentially shift the bias to the upside. The bearish flag pattern noted previously stands invalidated as price action edged higher. The current retest of 1.3902 comes as the previous breakdown from the triangle pattern put the initial downside target towards 1.3611 – 1.3589 region.


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