NZDUSD 06-02-2018 Intra-day analysis

RBA keeps interest rates unchanged

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Daily Forex Market Preview, 06/02/2018

The U.S. dollar was seen strengthening yesterday. Data from the U.S. showed that the ISM non-manufacturing PMI rose to 59.9 beating estimates of 56.5. January’s PMI data was also stronger than December’s print of 55.9.

In the UK, the services PMI came out slightly better than expected. The services sector activity rose to 54.7 in January, beating forecasts of 53.6 and accelerating slightly from December’s 53.9.

Earlier today, Australia’s retail sales figures showed a 0.5% decline on the month. This was a bigger than expected decline of 0.2%. However, revisions to previous month’s data showed an increase of 1.3%. The RBA’s monetary policy meeting was also held earlier today. The central bank kept interest rates unchanged at 1.50%.

Looking ahead, New Zealand’s unemployment data will be released later this evening. Estimates point to an increase in New Zealand’s unemployment rate at 4.7% while the quarterly employment change is expected to rise at a slower pace of 0.4%


NZDUSD intra-day analysis

NZDUSD (0.7278): The NZDUSD currency pair gapped lower on the day. Intraday retracement saw prices retracing back to fill the gap but eventually price settled lower. This marks a second consecutive session of a bearish decline in price. On the 4-hour chart, with NZDUSD breaking below the 0.7333 level, we expect to see a short term consolidation at this level. If 0.7333 is retested for resistance then we can expect to see further declines for the Kiwi dollar. The NZDUSD will be seen falling towards the first support level at 0.7160. Alternately, in the event that price manages to reclaim the 0.7333 level, we could expect to see some upside momentum being built up.


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