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EURUSD 2017-11-23 Intra-day analysis

Fed minutes weaken the U.S. dollar. Trading expected to remain subdued.

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Daily Forex Market Preview, 23/11/2017

The U.S. dollar gave up its gains yesterday as economic data and the Fed’s meeting minutes sent the greenback lower. Durable goods orders declined more than expected following September’s strong performance which was revised higher. The declines in the durable goods orders came due to a drop in transportation equipment.
The Federal Reserve released the meeting minutes yesterday. The minutes signaled that the central bank will hike interest rates amid a strengthening economy. But the minutes also showed that some Fed officials were concerned that weaker inflation would persist for longer than expected.
In the UK, the budget release showed that the government was allocating further funds towards Brexit. This comes on top of the 700 million GBP that was already set aside initially. The UK’s Office for Budget Responsibility also slashed growth forecasts.
Looking ahead, the economic calendar is quiet today. The Tokyo and New York markets are closed today. Data from the Eurozone will see the final revised GDP from Germany while the UK will also release its revised GDP estimates for the third quarter. The ECB will be releasing the meeting minutes while Canada will release the retail sales numbers.
EURUSD intra-day analysis

EURUSD (1.1836): The EURUSD posted strong gains by yesterday’s close. This comes following the spinning bottom pattern formed the day before. As a result, EURUSD is now seen testing the previous resistance level of 1.1843 – 1.1822 region. We expect the gains to hold out here. However, a breakout above this resistance will put the EURUSD back on a bullish path with a test towards the 1.1900 level being quite likely. However, in the event that the resistance level holds out, EURUSD could be seen falling back from this resistance level to trade within the previously established range.

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