Forex Trading Library

Weekly Forex Technical Outlook – 2nd February

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EURUSD (1.09): The sideways price action in EURUSD is potentially pointing to a buildup of momentum ahead of a breakout. Price action, however, is indecisive at the moment paving the way for a breakout of prices in either direction. The established Median line shows prices having formed a base near 1.081 – 1.075 region, with multiple tests to this support. The new median line shows a support level being formed near 1.0872 – 1.0892 region. Price action needs to see a close above this level and a potential pullback in order to establish this support. In such a scenario, EURUSD could see a potential to rally towards 1.11 which marks the immediate resistance level and if broken could see a test to 1.123. To the downside, failure to establish support near 1.0872 – 1.0892 could keep EURUSD range bound, and the bias shifts to the downside on a break below 1.081 – 1.075 support, which could see EURUSD decline to 1.0561 levels.

EURUSD: Price consolidation likely to continue
EURUSD: Price consolidation likely to continue
  • Bias (D1): Sideways
  • Support:081 – 1.075
  • Resistance:11
  • Technical Forecast: A move to 1.11 resistance is possible if EURUSD stays above 1.0872 – 1.0892 support.

USDJPY (120.6): USDJPY lost momentum after rallying off 118.11 – 118 support to test a previously established support near 121.22 – 120.745 level to test for resistance. The reversal seen near this price level is likely to see USDJPY decline back to the previous support to re-establish resistance. With prices staying below the resistance level of 121.22 – 120.745, we expect to see a correction in USDJPY ahead of further rallies. In the rundown to 118.11 – 118 support, we expect to see a minor support coming in at 119 level which could offer some bounce. For the moment, however, USDJPY remains biased to the downside as long as the resistance of 121.22 – 120.745 holds.

USDJPY – Watch 119 initial support
USDJPY – Watch 119 initial support
  • Bias (D1): Up
  • Support:11 – 118.0
  • Resistance:22 – 120.745
  • Technical Forecast: Correction to 119, followed by 118.11 – 118.0

GBPUSD (1.43): GBPUSD is looking for a base near the 1.42 – 1.41 region after bouncing off strongly on the first contact. The medium term bias in GBPUSD remains to the upside with 1.46315 region coming in a strong level of support which could be tested for resistance. The Stochastics oscillator on the daily chart shows a hidden bearish divergence based on a higher high being formed on the oscillator against price’s lower high. A retest to 1.42 – 1.41 region could potentially set the stage for GBPUSD to embark on a medium-term correction in prices to 1.4631, followed by 1.481.

GBPUSD – Potential bottom being formed near 1.41 – 1.42
GBPUSD – Potential bottom being formed near 1.41 – 1.42
  • Bias (D1): Sideways
  • Support:42 – 1.41
  • Resistance:463 – 1.481
  • Technical Forecast: Potential base forming near 1.41 – 1.42 which if validated could see a move to the mentioned resistance level

USDCAD (1.40): USDCAD declined off the highs near 1.469 to test the previous minor support at 1.3958 – 1.3914. If this support level holds, USDCAD could be looking at the move to the upside to retest the previous minor support near 1.43355 – 1.44545 region. Establishing resistance at this level is likely to see USDCAD look to a new leg in declines with the eventual target to 1.345 – 1.338 support level. However, should the resistance zone bear 1.44545 – 1.43355 give way, USDCAD could easily post another new high on a bounce back to establish support near the newly broken resistance level.

USDCAD – Daily Chart, watch the resistance near 1. 1.4454 & 1.4335
USDCAD – Daily Chart, watch the resistance near 1. 1.4454 & 1.4335
  • Bias (D1): Sideways
  • Support:3958 – 1.3914
  • Resistance:4454 – 1.4335
  • Technical Forecast: Establishing resistance near 1.4454 – 1.4335 could mark a new leg lower in USDCAD with a test to 1.345 – 1.338 on a break below 1.3958 – 1.3914

USDCHF (1.019): USDCHF is currently attempting to break above 1.026 level in order to post a new high. However, the resistance level here looks strong as the currency pair could be potentially looking at a test back 0.9928 – 0.9848 level of support. The Stochastics oscillator currently shows a bearish divergence pointing to a correction down the support levels mentioned. The price level of 1.026 – 1.015 is key as a break below 1.015 could mark the start of the decline. However, there is scope for price action to stay consolidated within the mentioned level of resistance following a breakout in either direction.

USDCHF – Daily Chart, Possible top is established
USDCHF – Daily Chart, Possible top is established
  • Bias (D1): Sideways
  • Support:9928 – 0.9848
  • Resistance: 1.026 – 1.015
  • Technical Forecast: Correction to the mentioned support levels likely if prices fail to break above 1.026 resistance high
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