Fundamental Analysis

It will be a busy week for cable traders, with several key events that could affect the pound, some of which are hard to predict given their political nature. This could leave the market a bit depressed at the beginning of the week as…
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One of the more important events for commodity currencies could happen this weekend, as the People's Bank of China (PBOC) will hold its monthly policy meeting on Sunday. Markets find the event difficult to predict, and there are no formal…
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The dollar weakened substantially in the second half of the week after US inflation came in cooler than expected. This provides a meaningful trade setup, as it implies that policy in the US could (once again) diverge from global trends. For…
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Thursday's UK GDP report could play a major role in shaping the pound's direction. Domestic political uncertainty already weighs on the currency. The renewed conflict between the US and Iran has also revived inflation concerns. As a result,…
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Forex Impact of the US-Iran War Restarting
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The latest flare-up in Middle East tensions could shape market reactions to this week's key economic events on Tuesday. The latest US CPI report will be released shortly before Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivers his first semiannual…
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Markets are reacting to conflicting news about the situation in the Strait of Hormuz, but the lack of clarity is proving particularly frustrating for traders seeking to price in risk. For a second time, Iran targeted shipping that was…
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The USDCAD has pulled back this week after reaching its highest level since early last year. While this move may be technical, traders are now asking whether fundamentals support a trend reversal or if the pair will resume its climb. Key…
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Markets expect Wednesday's release of the latest FOMC meeting minutes to confirm the recent hawkish pivot. The market already expects the Fed to hike rates, leaving little room for a hawkish surprise. That creates…
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The RBNZ meeting on Wednesday is likely to trigger a market reaction, regardless of the outcome, given the high level of uncertainty. The Reserve Bank is dealing with a complicated situation in New Zealand, which makes it hard for analysts…
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