Browsing Tag

Rate hike

Will the BOJ Really Exit Ultra Easing?

Daniel John Grady Nov 3, 2023 407 0

The Yen got a boost yesterday after press reports suggested that the BOJ was moving towards ending its ultra-easing policy. But, it's not surprising that many traders were a bit skeptical. It's not the first time that the media had reported…
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Fundamental Analysis

Australia June CPI and the Prospect of More Rate Hikes

Daniel John Grady Jul 24, 2023 63 0

After the RBA left the door open for another rate hike when it meets next week, there is a lot of attention on CPI figures to be released on Wednesday. There was quite a bit of division ahead of the last rate decision, so the surprise of…
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Fundamental Analysis

ECB Expected to Hike at Least 25bps

Daniel John Grady May 3, 2023 74 0

The consensus is solidifying around an expectation that the ECB will hike by 25bps at the upcoming meeting, and signal that more hikes could be coming. The latest inflation data was in line with expectations and didn't change the outlook…
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Fundamental Analysis

Fed Expected to Hike, But Then What?

Daniel John Grady Jan 31, 2023 93 0

The overwhelming consensus is that the Fed will hike by another 25bps at the conclusion of its meeting tomorrow. With such strong agreement among traders and economists, it's unlikely the rate decision itself will move the markets. That is,…
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Fundamental Analysis

RBA Interest Rate Decision: Another 50bps?

Daniel John Grady Oct 3, 2022 877 0

Normally, higher rates would be seen as good for the banking sector. So there is understandably some concern about the financial markets since Australian banking shares are down considerably despite a broad consensus that the RBA will raise…
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Fundamental Analysis

Eurozone Inflation and Future of Rate Hike Cycle

Daniel John Grady Sep 27, 2022 453 0

The ECB has only two more meetings for the rest of the year. Which means that the space to get inflation under control by the end of December is getting tight. The common bank is behind other major central banks in raising policy, which has…
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Technical Analysis

How Much Will The FOMC Hike?

Daniel John Grady Sep 20, 2022 403 0

Expectations for what the Fed will do at its next meeting have been on a bit of a rollercoaster. This has created some fluctuations in the dollar, as well as the stock market. But now that Fed officials are sitting down for the two-day…
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Fundamental Analysis

BOE Interest Rate Decision: Forecasters Can’t Make Up Their Minds

Daniel John Grady Aug 3, 2022 791 0

Ahead of tomorrow's BOE interest rate decision, a somewhat unique and interesting situation has cropped up. Most relevant for us traders is that it could mean there will be a strong reaction in the pound no matter what the BOE does.…
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Fundamental Analysis

What Are the Real Chances the BOE Raises Rates?

Daniel John Grady Nov 3, 2021 986 0

Analysts largely expect the BOE to be one of the first of the major central banks to raise rates. That said, there is a considerable debate among them about whether it will be at this meeting or at the next. The decision comes fast on…
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Fundamental Analysis

Will Anything Happen at the ECB Meeting Tomorrow?

Daniel John Grady Oct 27, 2021 942 0

With most central banks in the world "normalizing" their policy, and some moving to raise rates somewhat dramatically, the ECB is in a unique position. While there is a lot going on, and plenty of things for ECB members to talk about,…
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