Forex Trading Library

AUDUSD: Has Cycle Wave X Completed?

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The current AUDUSD structure indicates the final leg of a large triple zigzag w-x-y-x-z of a cycle degree. In this triple zigzag, sub-waves w,x,y, and x, have already ended.

Most likely, we are now seeing the development of a bullish double zigzag z, which includes the sub-waves Ⓦ,Ⓧ, and Ⓨ. Ⓦ and Ⓧ have been fully completed, whilst wave Ⓨ is still under development.

If we consider Ⓨ it in more detail, we will see that it consists of sub-waves (A)-(B)-(C). In the near future, the market could rise in impulse (C) to the 0.804 area.

At that level, the entire wave z will be at 50% of bullish zigzag y. According to statistics, this coefficient is often reached by the last waves of triple zigzags.

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If we consider an alternative scenario, we will see that it is possible that the cycle degree wave x is not yet complete.

If this hypothesis is correct, then we can assume that wave x will take the form of a bearish wave. This will consist of sub-waves Ⓦ-Ⓧ-Ⓨ and in its structure, it will be a double zigzag.

The first two parts of this double zigzag were fully complete, whereas wave Ⓨ is still under construction. Wave Ⓨ is a double zigzag, so it could consist of intermediate sub-waves (W)-(X)-(Y).

It is likely that in the next coming trading days, we can expect a decline in these sub-waves near 1.738. At that level, intervening wave x will be at 61.8% along the Fibonacci lines of previous wave y.

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