Forex Trading Library

Intraday Market Analysis – GBP Consolidated Gains

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GBPUSD to test major ceiling

The pound holds onto its gains after the PPI for October was revised upwards. As the pair approaches the August high of 1.2270, a bearish RSI divergence is a warning sign that the rally may be running out of juice. Profit-taking could be expected in this major supply area while those who hold a bearish view in the medium-term may look to sell. However, a bullish breakout could pave the way for a reversal. 1.2020 is the first support should Sterling start to drift lower and 1.1900 another level to gauge followers’ interest.

EURCHF awaits breakout

The euro softened after ECB officials played down wage pressure. Following a break above September’s high of 0.9830, the euro has found robust support over 0.9720. Then higher lows show rising interest in keeping the pair afloat. 0.9890 is a major resistance to clear before the rebound could break free. A rally above the recent peak of 0.9950 would put the single currency on a bullish trajectory in the weeks to come. On the downside, 0.9760 is the support to monitor in case hesitation leads to a prolonged sideways action.

GER 40 hits critical resistance

The Dax 40 steadies over upbeat German Q3 GDP. The RSI’s overbought condition is a sign of overextension. As the index tests June’s high of 14700, short-term traders may look to trim their exposure. 14370 is the first support and its breach might give buyers an excuse to bail out. Then 14150 at the confluence of a recent daily low and the 20-day moving average would be a key level to prevent broader liquidation. On the upside, a break above the ceiling could lay the groundwork for a bullish reversal in the medium-term.

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