GBPUSD 15-02-2018 Intra-day analysis

USD stays weak despite upbeat inflation

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Daily Forex Market Preview, 15/02/2018

Consumer prices in the United States were seen rising stronger than expected in the month of January. Despite the upbeat figures, the U.S. dollar turned weaker on the day. Headline CPI rose 0.5% on the month beating estimates and rising to an annual pace of 2.1% while core CPI increased 0.3% on the month for an annual gain of 1.8%.

However, the upbeat data was offset by soft retail sales which fell 0.3% in January. The hourly earnings data also showed an increase of 0.8% in January up from December’s revised 0.6% increase.

Elsewhere, the Swedish central bank was seen holding its monetary policy unchanged at -0.50% at its meeting yesterday. The central bank signaled that it would hike interest rates in the second half of 2018 while downgrading its inflation forecasts.

Looking ahead the ECB’s Chief economists Peter Praet will be speaking at a panel discussion today. Data from the U.S. will see the producer prices numbers coming out for January. This will be followed by the regional manufacturing index data.


GBPUSD intra-day analysis

GBPUSD (1.4011): The British pound maintained gains with price rising to a four-day high as the GBPUSD managed to recover back to the previously established range. The resistance level at 1.4037 is likely to be tested once again in the near term. Further gains can be expected only on a strong close above the resistance level. Meanwhile, as long as the resistance holds, the GBPUSD could be seen maintaining a sideways range within the levels mentioned.




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